Makhachev vs Tsarukyan: UFC 311 – Can Arman Shock the World and Dethrone the Champion
The Islam Makhachev vs. Arman Tsarukyan fight at UFC 311 is set to be one of the most anticipated lightweight matchups in recent history. The odds are out, and they have established Makhachev as a dominant -334 favorite, with Tsarukyan standing as the +250 underdog. Despite Makhachev’s favored status, the line seems quite steep, and many fans are curious about how this matchup will unfold on January 18, 2025.
The Stakes: Lightweight Gold on the Line
The lightweight division is stacked with talent, and this clash of styles between Makhachev and Tsarukyan will certainly add another layer of intrigue. Makhachev enters the octagon as the current champion, having achieved a near-flawless run with dominant title defenses. His victory over Alex Volkanovski in 2023 via head kick was a career-defining moment, followed by a submission win over Dustin Poirier at UFC 302. His wrestling is his strength, and that’s what will likely play a major role in this fight.
Tsarukyan, on the other hand, is on a four-fight win streak and is known for his explosive striking and dynamic movement. He has evolved immensely since his first fight with Makhachev back in 2019, where he suffered a tough loss. Both fighters have since refined their skills, but Makhachev’s experience and ability to control the ground could give him the edge in this matchup.
How to Bet on Islam Makhachev
If you’re looking to bet on Makhachev, it’s easy to see why he’s the favorite. His dominant style of grappling, combined with his ability to wear down opponents with relentless pressure, makes him a formidable foe. Makhachev has more experience in five-round fights than Tsarukyan, and his superior grappling skills were evident in their first meeting. Expect him to use his wrestling once again to neutralize Arman’s explosive offense. His strength lies in his ability to secure takedowns and ground control, leading to potential submission finishes. A bet on Makhachev to win by submission seems like a smart play, considering his submission prowess and Tsarukyan’s past vulnerabilities on the ground.
How to Bet on Arman Tsarukyan
While Makhachev holds the clear grappling advantage, Tsarukyan brings a different dynamic to the table. His powerful striking and unorthodox style make him dangerous, especially in the later rounds. Tsarukyan has shown flashes of brilliance and can surprise his opponents with his unpredictability. If you’re looking for value in the underdog, Tsarukyan presents an intriguing option. Betting on him to win in the later rounds (Round 3, 4, or 5) or via decision could yield a solid return. Tsarukyan’s ability to last through the fight, outlast the pressure, and possibly secure a late finish or decision win gives this bet a potential edge.
Betting Pick: Makhachev or Tsarukyan?
From a pure value perspective, it’s hard to ignore Tsarukyan as a potential upset pick. However, Makhachev is the more consistent fighter and has the superior grappling game. For those looking to make a more strategic bet, Islam to win by submission is likely the safest pick. The matchup will likely play out as a grappling-heavy contest, with bursts of striking from both sides. Given Makhachev’s tendency to wear down opponents, his chance of securing a submission seems highly probable in a 25-minute wrestling match.
The Verdict: Don’t Miss UFC 311’s Lightweight War
This lightweight championship battle is sure to be a sensation for MMA fans worldwide. Whether you’re betting on Islam Makhachev’s wrestling domination or hoping for a shocking upset from Arman Tsarukyan, UFC 311 promises to deliver one of the most exciting clashes of the year. Keep your eyes peeled for a thrilling fight between two of the best lightweights in the world, and make sure to tune in for a night of fireworks!
